Skip to main content

First reaction is often wrong

Unexpected results usually come from:
  • misunderstood trade behavior
  • exposure effects
  • exit dominance

What to check

  1. Trade list
  2. Largest losses
  3. Exposure time
  4. Drawdown duration

How to read results

Step-by-step interpretation.

Common illusions

  • high win rate hiding large losses
  • smooth equity hiding exposure risk
  • short backtests exaggerating performance

Correct mindset

Metrics explain behavior - they don’t define truth.
If results surprise you, behavior wasn’t understood yet.